Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.004651 0.004902 0.005160 0.005445 0.005753 0.006074 0.006436
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.004271 0.004650 0.005058 0.005531 0.006066 0.006656 0.007357
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.003985 0.004434 0.004931 0.005526 0.006223 0.007019 0.008006
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.003747 0.004239 0.004797 0.005481 0.006306 0.007277 0.008522
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.003519 0.004035 0.004632 0.005378 0.006299 0.007411 0.008878
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.003336 0.003870 0.004497 0.005296 0.006303 0.007547 0.009231
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003221 0.003778 0.004443 0.005305 0.006413 0.007813 0.009759
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.003022 0.003574 0.004239 0.005114 0.006255 0.007721 0.009798
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.002940 0.003509 0.004204 0.005133 0.006364 0.007978 0.010320
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002919 0.003518 0.004262 0.005270 0.006632 0.008458 0.011180
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002813 0.003415 0.004169 0.005204 0.006622 0.008555 0.011493
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002733 0.003342 0.004112 0.005182 0.006670 0.008730 0.011928
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002640 0.003249 0.004028 0.005122 0.006663 0.008833 0.012267
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002606 0.003234 0.004045 0.005200 0.006855 0.009230 0.013085
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002543 0.003177 0.004004 0.005195 0.006925 0.009451 0.013638
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002472 0.003106 0.003940 0.005154 0.006940 0.009586 0.014061
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002385 0.003011 0.003842 0.005059 0.006870 0.009587 0.014257
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002310 0.002931 0.003759 0.004984 0.006824 0.009621 0.014510
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.002268 0.002893 0.003735 0.004992 0.006904 0.009856 0.015121
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.002166 0.002771 0.003589 0.004816 0.006695 0.009617 0.014883
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.002132 0.002743 0.003573 0.004833 0.006784 0.009864 0.015527
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.002135 0.002765 0.003631 0.004959 0.007048 0.010412 0.016763
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.002080 0.002703 0.003566 0.004899 0.007013 0.010456 0.017057